With Jane away for a few days, I've been watching whole lot of television. With the warning that this post contains Lost spoilers if you haven't seen the episode aired last Wednesday here in the U.S. (titled "Something Nice Back Home"), one of the questions that I have is why the show's creators seem to be establishing Jack Shepard as the iconic leader figure in what seem to be the final moments before rescue, when leadership on the show has always been fluid -- emergent, even.
When Jack falls ill with appendicitis in the last episode, he's consumed with the idea that he's going to fail the survivors in the hour that they need him most. Even taking into consideration Matthew Fox's appropriately rugged good looks, it's always seemed strange that Jack has been held up so often as the key to survival for the island's habitants. We've seen a number of characters actually function as decision makers or influencers (Sawyer, Locke, Kate, Sayid, Ben, Juliet, Hurley, etc.) and I think its fair to say that just as often a new tent is set up and attacks are launched because the group, or some segment of the group, coalesces around a strategy.
I'm particularly intrigued by this idea of leadership on Lost because how groups manage to survive in a relatively confined and often hostile space is to me one of the more compelling themes of the series. Having the good-looking doctor serve as the "great man" of the island makes the whole business less interesting, I think. We know Jack is one of the Oceanic Six (though I'm entirely confused as to what that even means when we have a supposedly dead Charlie appearing to Hurley, etc.) My bet? Jack's rendered entirely weak during the whole get-off-of-the-island process, which leads to some of them indeed making it off and ensuring that Jack's miserable as a result. Emergent leadership emerges victorious.

Comments
I have a different take on the issue of leadership. The show has, from the start, pitted Jack against Locke. Ying and Yang. Jack represents logic, science, rationality. Locke represents faith, mystery, spirituality, the irrational. From the very start, it's been these two butting heads. It's never only been about Jack; they've all had to face the fact that something mysterious and supernatural happens there, whether it's the smoke monster or Rose's cure, or the horse, etc, etc. There are things on the island that cannot be explained solely through Jack's rationality. That's why the split this season, when their philosophical differences finally manifested in the physical splitting up of "teams" on the island, was so significant. When forced to choose sides, the losties finally had to come to terms with what each of them thought, out of these two approaches, was the key to their survival.
- Carlo
Carlo -- I appreciate holding up Locke's faith-based survival strategy against Jack's logic/science-driven approach that's actually less able to explain the island -- though I'd argue in seriousness that once you impose giant ethereal polar bears on a tropical island, you're already putting the good doctor at a real disadvantage. But I don't think we're in conflict. With the possible exception of baby Aaron, all of the Oceanic Six are, as things stand, part of Jack's posse. And if Jack the Ubermensch is incapacitated when "rescue" seems most possible, then, well, we'll have to wait and see how the decisions emerge about who leaves and who stays. But the path we *don't* seem to be going down is one where Jack and Locke are acting as anything more than two poles marking rationality/science and mystery/faith.
- Nancy Scola
Minor correction, but Hurley stayed with Locke, and he's part of the Oceanic 6. I think the decision to stay/leave actually shakes out fairly easily for most of them. Many (Locke, Sawyer) actually *want* to stay on the island, as life back home has nothing to offer. And we know Jin is determined to get Sun out; Jack will save Kate (cause he loooooooves her); Jack's always wanted off; I could easily see Claire sacrificing her chance for Aaron. To me, the intrigue is around Hurley. Why does he want to leave? And what happens to Desmond?
- Carlo
Ah, good point about Hurley -- he indeed chooses to go with Locke after the confrontation between Locke and Sawyer about the wisdom of seeking out "Jacob." But remember that Hurley's choice to join the Locke faction in the first place was inspired by Charlie's last words about how the people of the boat were there to do them harm. Remember how Sawyer had that entirely Sawyer-esque line along the lines of "I'm doing what I always do, freckles: surviving"? At least on its face, Sawyer and Hurley leave Jack out of fear of their supposed rescuers, not because they were willing to fall line behind Locke.
- Nancy Scola
Good points!(I could talk about LOST all day!!!) :-)
- Carlo